NFL Week 3 brings us some of the biggest favorites so far this season. The New York Giants are double-digit underdogs to the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football. The Giants did rally from a 21-point deficit against the Arizona Cardinals Sunday to pick up their first win of the season. Running back Saquon Barkley did injure his ankle late in the game and it may be difficult for him to play on a short week.
The Kansas City Chiefs are favored by nearly two touchdowns at home against a struggling Chicago Bears team. The Chiefs aren’t exactly lighting the scoreboard up either as they haven’t scored more than 20 points in either game so far this season.
Road teams continue to shine and show that playing at home isn’t a huge advantage for teams, as they’re now 18-12 this season. Many factors could play into why road teams win more than they used to, but it is something to keep an eye on for the rest of the year. Favorites are 9-5 in Week 2 and 18-12 so far this season.
The over/under in next weekend's Patriots-Jets game is 37.5, the lowest of the brief 2023 season.
Since the start of the 2020 season, there have only been 14 games with a lower total than that.
— Chad Graff (@ChadGraff) September 18, 2023
Chad notes that that is a small total, especially for a game in September that won’t be affected by snow or a hurricane. Most games with totals under 40 don’t open that low, and it is due to weather that the totals drop closer to kickoff.